Monday, June 15, 2009

Daily Outlook for EURUSD


Attached is the 1H chart for EURUSD. For most part of the day yesterday, this pair was ranging but it was clear that it had a bearish bias. Finally, during the US session, this pair broke down and also broke through an important support at around 1.38. This price area had been serving as a very strong support for quite some weeks now.

The fact that this support area has been broken leads us to the premise that more downside is possible in this pair. For today, i expect a slight retrace back to 1.38 and then for the fall to continue.

For the downside, the supports are at 1.3745 and then at 1.3672. A break of this support would lead the price to go down to 1.3430.

On the upside, the resistances are at 1.38 and then at 1.3850. For today, i expect more movement downward and i do not expect 1.3850 to be broken.

Updates on Signal Service

Last week was a very rough and tough week for a lot of traders including me. The Monday started off very badly with us losing a little more than 300 pips for the day. We recovered more than half of that during Tuesday. Wednesday was bad again with us losing about 180 pips but we made that all up on Thursday. We again made more than 100 pips on Friday which ensured that we lost only 100 pips for the whole of the week.

To compensate for the people on trial and paid service, i decided to extend the trial for those already on trial, by a week and also extended the period for the paid subscribers for a couple of days.

Today was again a good day with us making close to 100 pips for the day. I have reduced the number of calls but increased the success percentage. So, a bit boring as the number of trades is less but i would rather take a boring successful day rather than an exciting losing day...

I would continue my posting of analysis from tomorrow.

Thursday, June 11, 2009

Daily Outlook for GBPUSD


Attached is the 1H chart for GBPUSD. Like EURUSD, it has also made a nice retracement and has been making its upward march for the past few days. True to its character, we have had some violent moves in this pair this week with both the move down and the subsequent move up being equally violent. Honestly, at the beginning of the week, i expected this pair to move down a lot but it has shown surprising strength and has come right back up to its previous top.

This pair is now at a crucial point. The previous top is nearby at 1.6650. It was from here that we had a 800 pip drop the previous time. Now, we need to see whether this top is going to be taken out or not. If it is not, then we are again going to go down. If this top is indeed taken out, then we are on our way again to very high levels.

On the downside, we have good support at 1.6540 and then at 1.6480 and finally at 1.6420. This price should prove as a very strong support and i dont see price going down below this today.

On the upside, as pointed out above, we have huge resistance at 1.6620 and then a bigger one at 1.6661. If this is taken out, then we should have atleast a 300-400 pips move above in the next few days.

Daily Outlook for EURUSD


Attached is the 1H chart for EURUSD. This pair has been showing some amazing strength for the past few weeks and we can see that this pair just does not seem to want to go down. All dips in the price have been just retracements and they have been bought by buyers who have just used the dips to buy at lower prices. This pair has not rarely gone down below 1.38 over the last few weeks and this looks good for more.

As for yesterday, again we had a nice retracement and then the price has again come right back up. The bullish pin bar at the bottom of the retracement was a good indication that the price was going to reverse and move back up, which it did. I would expect more upside today.

On the downside, there is good support at 1.4088 and this support has not been broken for the past few hours. If this support does get broken, then we should be going down to 1.4050 and then to 1.4000.

On the upside, there is resistance at 1.4160 and then at 1.4220 and then a major resistance at 1.4343 where we can see the previous top.

For today, 1.4088 would be crucial. If this is broken, then it would be a bearish day and we will be going down today else if this is not broken cleanly, we should be moving up.

Tuesday, June 9, 2009

Daily Outlook for EURUSD


Attached is the 1H chart for EURUSD. This pair had a huge upmove yesterday along with its cousin, GBPUSD. It broke through an important psychological resistance at 1.40 and is now resting at a strong support at around 1.4050. As can be seen from the chart, this pair has been ranging for the past few hours. Whether this ranging is accumulation and hence a breakout to upside or distribution and hence a breakout to the downside, only time will tell.

On the downside, we have support at 1.4050 and then 1.4000. If both these supports are broken, then we have the next support close to 1.3920.

On the upside, there is some strong resistance at 1.41 and then at 1.4160 which is a even bigger resistance.

The trade plan for today would be to wait for break of 1.41 or 1.400 and then take a trade in that direction.

Monday, June 8, 2009

Daily Outlook for EURUSD


Attached is the 1H chart for EURUSD. Yesterday, was a topsy turvy day with price whipsawing on all the pairs and finally the prices of most pairs ending the day where they had started. Nowadays, that has become very typical of Mondays where the big guys just seem to take all the pairs on a big ride to confuse everyone.

Anyway, we are where we are. Yesterday, we had a nice move down to the strong support at 1.3810. Though the downmove was something that was expected, the size of it surprised me as i was expecting a move only till around 1.39. In any case, we had an upmove after that and this move has shown that there is still lot of strength left in this pair. Now, this pair is trying to clear 1.3930 which had served as a decent support yesterday.

On the downside, we can support at 1.3890 and then a very strong support at 1.3810.

On the upside, there is some decent resistance at 1.3930 and then at 1.40. Today, i would expect the price to move up after a small retrace into the high 1.38s.

Sunday, June 7, 2009

Daily Outlook for EURUSD


Attached is the 1H chart for EURUSD. This pair had a huge fall last week with the USD getting stronger against all major currencies. Now this pair has entered into a region of high traffic. Going back in the charts , we can see that this region is highly congested with a lot of supports and resistances and with a lot of buying and selling going on.

On the downside, we have had a nice bounce on this pair from the support at 1.3916 and this pair has risen quite a bit over the last few hours. We have supports at 1.3960 and then a major support at 1.3916. I would be very suprised if this support is broken today.

On the upside, we have resistance at 1.4038 and then another major resistance at 1.4110.

For today, i would expect some ranging between the support at 1.3916 and 1.4110 and with no major news on any pair today, i do not expect a breakout from these SR regions. So, it would be a good idea to play this range today.